Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.316227 3.677164 4.068253 4.524688 5.044247 5.618969 6.305178
2025-06-08 2.768287 3.245696 3.799140 4.492563 5.344281 6.364205 7.689921
2025-06-15 2.510075 3.067507 3.747341 4.646790 5.819492 7.316126 9.402546
2025-06-22 2.254095 2.843709 3.591569 4.624321 6.036685 7.935252 10.740998
2025-06-29 2.045794 2.649813 3.441423 4.574883 6.189726 8.460853 11.995396
2025-07-06 1.813642 2.398345 3.184742 4.343835 6.050849 8.542337 12.590750
2025-07-13 1.700385 2.295960 3.118221 4.366543 6.268912 9.155190 14.064467
2025-07-20 1.621306 2.232675 3.097945 4.449267 6.577864 9.932234 15.903005
2025-07-27 1.555594 2.181813 3.088923 4.543981 6.909508 10.776357 17.972990
2025-08-03 1.488234 2.122371 3.060614 4.603089 7.185358 11.554302 20.038076
2025-08-10 1.420288 2.056427 3.016047 4.629854 7.406268 12.258158 22.068853
2025-08-17 1.321935 1.937089 2.879413 4.493077 7.330826 12.421861 23.064134
2025-08-24 1.247757 1.852257 2.793837 4.438438 7.401299 12.874091 24.749790
2025-08-31 1.185532 1.782405 2.727483 4.410841 7.517492 13.426881 26.747642
2025-09-07 1.163583 1.775382 2.762762 4.562296 7.979253 14.710710 30.599946
2025-09-14 1.111143 1.715028 2.704349 4.540413 8.106699 15.333228 33.044144
2025-09-21 1.058355 1.650851 2.634934 4.492067 8.176003 15.840576 35.305694
2025-09-28 0.979714 1.539018 2.476587 4.266024 7.866769 15.494671 35.348630
2025-10-05 0.947439 1.504231 2.450679 4.288243 8.067287 16.297853 38.552930
2025-10-12 0.926444 1.487511 2.455402 4.369180 8.398072 17.440061 42.933257
2025-10-19 0.908316 1.474633 2.465928 4.461840 8.763194 18.713961 47.997914
2025-10-26 0.886170 1.453342 2.459529 4.519661 9.057260 19.858014 52.967494
2025-11-02 0.860989 1.425227 2.438610 4.545843 9.282217 20.861470 57.760606